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A Canadian pipe-dream?

Angela Merriam

Readinch

Canada’s prime minister is on his way to Beijing to stoke interest in the country’s oil sands, but China would be wise to keep a safe distance, writes Angela Merriam.

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Stephen Harper, Canada’s prime minister, arrives in Beijing tomorrow with a very specific goal: to secure a market for the further exploitation of Canada’s oil sands, a project that he once likened to the building of the Great Wall of China, “only bigger”.

Following widespread environmental protests, the US government two weeks ago denied a permit to the would-be builders of the US$7 billion (44 billion yuan) Keystone XL pipeline: a plan to pump crude oil from Canada’s oil sands, in the south-western province of Alberta, down the length of the United States to refineries in Texas. Now, with that plan scuppered by Canada’s southern neighbour, Harper has a renewed interest in selling oil to Beijing.

Anxieties about local ecological damage and concern about global climate change have driven opposition to the exploitation of Canada’s oil sands for years. The latest development, Canada’s proposed Northern Gateway pipeline, would increase exports of this “dirty” oil to China by over 50 times. But the strong environmental lobby in the United States may mean that Canada is now more willing to face considerable hurdles back home to export to what it hopes to be a more tractable Chinese market.

Canada holds the second-largest oil reserves in the world after Saudi Arabia. But because the oil is trapped in a highly viscous mixture of bitumen, sand and clay, it requires an extraction process much more water and energy-intensive and harmful to local ecology than conventional oil.

Shallower oil sands deposits are harvested by open-pit mining, first cutting down forest and removing an average of four tonnes of sand and soil per barrel of oil, which disturbs the ecology of surrounding areas including bogs, rivers and boreal forest. Deposits buried deep below the surface require an even more environmentally harmful in-situ practice: heating the mixture, usually through steam and oil, until it is fluid enough to be pumped out through a well.

After removal, each barrel of oil requires several barrels of water, which is heated to separate the bitumen from the sand. Contaminated water is discharged into tailings ponds, areas where waste-water is stored to allow solid particles to separate from the liquid. During this whole process, somewhere between 1.5 and four units of water are used for every unit of oil extracted, in addition to recycled water. 

All of this is done before the refining process that is also required for conventional oil. Together, it leaves an indelible blemish, on not only the local landscape, but also the air, water and possibly even local health.

Chinese companies have been investing in Canada’s oil sands since 2005 and, according to the Houston Chronicle, have injected around US$15 billion into Alberta alone over the past 18 months. Canada currently exports only 10,000 barrels of oil per day to China. The Northern Gateway pipeline would increase capacity 525,000 barrels of oil per day.

If approved, the proposed pipeline would take oil-sands crude west from Alberta and pass through mountainous British Columbia (BC), an area recognised for its majestic natural landscapes and home to 50 of Canada’s First Nations or Aboriginal groups. In the north-west coast of BC, the oil would be put on supertankers bound for Asia.

China is considered the biggest potential buyer of this oil as the country seeks to satiate its expanding appetite for energy. The International Energy Agency predicts that Chinese energy demand will soar 75% by 2035, accounting for more than a third of the growth in global consumption.

However, even if China is a willing client, domestic politics will likely mean a slow response from Canada. As in the United States with the Keystone XL pipeline, Canada will have to first assuage environmental opposition, and it will also have to determine how to respond to land claims from many native peoples.

Members of parliament, government bodies and environmental groups, while for the most part being in favour of “responsible oil sands development”, have all been outspoken about the need to implement effective environmental management systems, in particular for land, air and water resources around the oil sands. Many also argue that this is necessary for a predictable, stable investment climate.

The cumulative effects on the area’s watersheds are unknown, but several independent, government-recognised studies (compiled here) reference the need for better water monitoring systems at both the provincial and federal level. Environmentalists also argue that there is no regional plan that sets acceptable limits on oil sands’ ecological disturbance and protects threatened species in the oil sands area.

Opposition to the Gateway pipeline has been buttressed by a December 2011 report to parliament conducted by the Commissioner of the Environment and Sustainable Development (the Canadian government’s primary independent auditor) that prompted serious safety concerns  over the way the government’s energy regulator manages pipelines.

Further opposition to the Gateway is found in a report by the Pembina Institute, an environmental group that advocates responsible oil sands development, which includes a recommendation to reject the proposed pipeline and institute a ban on large oil tanker traffic off British Columbia’s coast. A tanker ban was put forward in a parliamentary bill just last year, and has been publicly supported by all federal parties in Canada with the exception of the Conservative government in power. If passed, such a bill would interfere with the 225 oil supertankers expected to connect Chinese markets to the Gateway pipeline.

Public hearings on the pipeline proposal began in early January and have already attracted over 4,000 people to participate in the consultation process, which will last for 1.5 years. The main issues raised will likely include the environmental impacts of oil sands production, the risk of a pipeline spill or tanker accident at sea and the accuracy of proposed economic benefits. Many participants are members of First Nations groups, there to protect their land claims, a barrier to the proposed pipeline that the Canadian government has already recognised.

Linda Duncan, head of environment policy for Canada’s second most powerful political party, the New Democrats (NDP), told chinadialogue that “our trading partners need to be aware that there will be clear opposition” when it comes to streamlining the Northern Gateway pipeline as Harper is now interested in doing.

Harper’s Conservative party Natural Resources Minister has argued that it is primarily “environmental and other radical groups” that will provide much of the opposition to the Northern Gateway, arguing that the process is being “hijacked” by foreign interests to “undermine Canada’s economy”.

This is not the first time such arguments have been raised against environmentalists, including in China. But Duncan insists the reality is that the Canadian government is “absolutely not responsive” to the democratic demands of Canadians for environmental protection. Environmentalists also argue that, as so many environmental problems transcend national boundaries, they will require an international response.

Indeed, many in the international community are very critical of the current Canadian government’s dismal environmental record. In 2011, a coalition of environmental groups awarded the Canadian government the fifth “fossil of the year” award for its poor record on climate-change action after pulling out of the Kyoto Protocol, the international climate treaty to tackle climate emissions adopted in 1997, and has been the target of repeated criticism by Canadian green groups for its poor environmental policy.

Canada is already one of the highest per-capita greenhouse-gas emitters in the world. The oil sands currently only represent 6.5% of the country’s total emissions, but the Pembina Institute estimates that future increases are expected to come “almost solely” from oil sands, and states that “efforts to constrain these emissions is out of step with Canada’s climate commitments.”

It is also clear that oil sands are more carbon intensive than conventional oil, although how much more depends on the measurement technique. Some calculate emissions disparities from extraction through to refining (“well to tank”), where oil sands oil is estimated to be three to five times more carbon intensive than conventional oil.But in a “well to wheels” calculation, which includes emissions all the way to the cars’ exhaust pipes, oil sands are only 5% to 15% dirtier, according to Cambridge Energy Research Associates,an environmental consultancy group. In other words, most of the carbon emissions still come from burning the oil, not extracting it.

But building infrastructure like oil pipelines creates a “lock-in” effect, which according to a study by the International Energy Agency, would set out a high-carbon energy growth path for decades to come. 

“Are we going to get serious about alternative energy, or are we going to go down the unconventional-oil track?” asked Simon Dyer of the Pembina Institute, cited in National Geographic. “The fact that we're willing to move four tonnes of earth for a single barrel really shows that the world is running out of easy oil.

Environmentalists argue the Gateway pipeline is a path toward further global reliance on fossil fuels. Prioritising oil over renewable energy will ultimately carry a heavy environmental price, and it is future generations that will pay.

Canada will likely remain eager to diversify its trade basket through increasing cooperation with China. But if China is interested in importing more Canadian crude oil, it must be prepared to deal with the political and environmental realities of its partner. If there’s a message to be taken from Keystone XL, it’s that trading partners may underestimate environmental voices – and do so at their own peril. 

Angela Merriam is a Canadian environmentalist and educator based in Beijing. She currently works with the local NGO Green Earth Volunteers and teaches a class on social change in China through CET Academic Programs.   

 Homepage image by Greenpeace/ Jiri Rezac

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天真愚昧不可取

那些境外的环保主义者,尤其是那些来自受惠国家——比如说中石化所属的中国,对加拿大的环境假以同情时,他们难道不知道,像中石化这样的“有钱户”已经在加拿大石油公司(该公司总部设于阿尔伯特省,隶属于美国石油巨头康菲公司,后者与中石油的合资公司在渤海湾发生漏油事件)身上砸下了超过150亿美元的资金吗?既然已经“破费”了,那石油势必是要从加拿大的阿尔伯特省输出的。我自然可以想象,所谓的“北方门户管道计划”其实不会是加拿大政府的投资项目,而可能就是中石化的投资。或者换个说法,其实是中国政府的投资——取之于民却用之无度。

don't appear naive and idiot

when those of environmentilists from outside of Canada, especially, from the related beneficiary country, such as the Sinopc's stack owner, show their their sympathy to Canada environment, don't they know that this state owned money dispenser has already spent over USD 15 billion for the Alberta based Canadian Oil Company from US Oil giant, COP (that also dump oil over Chinese Bohai Sea with joint-venture with China Oil). That money has been sent, if not dispesed. the oil has to be transfered anyway out there from Alberta, Canada. The north pipeline, as I can imagine, will not be the investment of Canadian government, but most likely the Sinopc, in another word, Chinese government money, that is all Chnese people' money but out of control.


Haefen: 你对加拿大的国内形势很无知

你的陈述中轻视加拿大原住民的土地要求,揭示出你缺乏基本的人道主义关怀和对加拿大的政治局势的无知,特别是当你说:
“几乎这个星球上的每一块土地都有拥有者之外的其他人声称拥有它。如果尊重所有人的意愿,只能导致战争和流血。”

现实情况是,在北门管道预计将穿过的土地上,这些原住民群体具有强大的宪法赋予的土地权。因此,这条管道可能需要通过从加拿大最高法院那里得到合法的许可,才能延伸至此。此加拿大信息来源(http://thetyee.ca/News/2012/01/30/First-Nations-Gateway-Battle/)详细介绍了所需的法律问题和法律程序 。其中说道:“该报告可能需要如此长时间,以至于会让阿尔伯塔省油砂矿和不列颠哥伦比亚省西北海岸基蒂马特港口之间的管道建设的资金和工程支持都半途而废。”

所以,这也就是最后的评论者okfrank所担心的:中国人或许想法过于天真,把公共资金投入一个他们完全无法控制的项目。

Haefen: ignorance of Canada’s domestic situation

Your statements, through trivializing the land claims of Canada’s Native Peoples, belie a lack of basic humanitarian concern and an ignorance of Canada’s political situation, particularly when you say:
“Almost every part of the planet is claimed by someone other than the people currently controlling it. Respecting all those claims can only lead to war and bloodshed.”

The reality is that these groups have strong, constitutionally founded rights to much of the land that the Northern Gateway pipeline is expected to run through. The pipeline therefore may require a legal battle that may extend all the way to Canada’s Supreme Court. A Canadian source (http://thetyee.ca/News/2012/01/30/First-Nations-Gateway-Battle/) details these legal issues and reports that legal processes required “...may take so long that the sheer passage of time cripples the effort to finance and construct the proposed link between Alberta's oil sands and Kitimat's port on the northwest coast of B.C.”
This is what the last commenter okfrank seems to be worried about: the Chinese being naive and investing public money into a project that's completely out of their control.


所谓“道德石油”

在诸多政府以及独立研究表明油砂矿存在管理不当后,亚伯达省的石油大亨们提出这个名词做为一种聪明的政治周旋。

只有重新定义“道德”这个词讨论才会有意义:破坏环境道德吗?加剧气候变化道德吗?绕过民主程序道德吗?破坏原住民的土地道德吗?而后两个问题在这个石油管道案中是最关键的——文章中也提到,许多政治家和环保主义者支持负责任地发展油砂但反对北门管道计划。

So-called "Ethical oil"

Alberta oil barons originally came up with this as a clever political spin after numerous government and independent studies came out with evidence that the oil sands was being managed improperly.
It's only relevant if you redefine the word “ethical”: is it ethical to destroy the environment? Is it ethical to exacerbate climate change? Is it ethical to circumvent democratic processes? Is it ethical to destroy aboriginal lands? The last two will be most important in the case of this pipeline - as quoted in the article, there are many politicians and environmentalists who support the responsible development of the oil sands but not the Northern Gateway pipeline.


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